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Plan 2014 (High Lake Levels)

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  1. #37
    Sad news folks, expect more high water damage and flooding per the IJC but they do not know when.

    The IJC has been defending their “ Plan 2014 “ over the past couple of weeks, Channel 7 news in Buffalo has a 90 second interview below

    I found one remark laughable “During a presentation at the Great Lakes Restoration Conference at the Hyatt Hotel in Buffalo, IJC representatives argued that if it were left to Mother Nature to control the levels on Lake Ontario, the flooding would be much worse because of 20-year cycles for extreme flooding.”

    Well, if Mother nature was in charge let’s say hypothetically speaking- we would not have the Mosses Saunders dam and such, Lake Ontario would flow freely out to the Atlantic Ocean via the St Lawrence. Along this path of discharge, portions of Montreal and other human establishments currently built on a “ natural flood plain “ would not be there. Lake Ontario’s water level would rise and fall - we would adapt, somewhat like it was prior to 1955. Sure past records prior to 1955 showed we have had similar high lake level events but for a very short period of time not for several months like we experienced this year. Mother Nature will not hold water back, she will let it flow in and out as fast as possible. Would it be worse – not a chance.

    Only good news is that the IJC will review this year’s flooding, make a report and table it next spring. We can only hope they will improve upon it.

    What we do know and what to expect so far with Plan 2014:
    Lake Ontario must hit its high water mark ( they call it a “trigger ) before we can open up the dams to ease flooding concerns. Not prior to, even though their own data could show flooding will occur a month in advance
    Discharge must be kept in check to not allow flooding down river. Ie portions of Montreal, even if this means flooding the Lake Ontario basin for a longer period of time
    Next spring we will again start with a higher lake level
    The other great lakes still have a higher than normal amount of water to pass onto Lake Ontario

    And another video interview

    The International Joint Commission will look to assess this year’s record high water levels and flooding on Lake Ontario in a report that’s expected to come out next year.The planned report was discussed at multiple points during Tuesday’s hearing about the flooding at Mexico High School as IJC officials took questions about ways the flooding could be averted.“The Canadian and the U.S. government will both be looking at the post-flood assessment, what could be done on the U.S. side, what could be done on the Canadian side,” said Stephen Durrett, alternate co-chairman of the commission’s International Lake Ontario-St. Lawrence River Board.
    Frank L. Bevacqua, IJC information officer, said the report by the commission’s Great Lakes-St. Lawrence River Adaptive Management Committee is set to arrive in March or April. Multiple officials, including Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo, have blamed the IJC for the flooding, with some saying the board prioritized Canadian interests or those of shipping on the St. Lawrence Seaway instead of residents on the lake’s southern shore. Others directed their anger toward the IJC’s Plan 2014 management plan, instituted this year. IJC officials have said the flooding was a result of intense rain and runoff, which in April and May broke the rainfall record for any two consecutive months. State Sen. Patricia A. Ritchie, R-Heuvelton, who organized Tuesday’s meeting, said local residents needed answers for what happened this year. She said early projections had water levels lowering in a matter of weeks, leaving residents unprepared for a full spring and summer of high water. “It’s bad enough they went through it this year,” she said. “I don’t want people to go through this again next year.” The senator said she hoped the IJC report will involve more input from affected stakeholders, and perhaps more flexibility to release water prior to hitting certain thresholds.“It just seemed there wasn’t enough coordination, certainly when Plan 2014 was put into place,” she said. “It listed in the plan that there’s supposed to be some way to address flooding and mitigating the risk, and that seems to be the opposite of what happened.”She also expressed a desire for the IJC to add an appointee to its main board with connections to the north country, and to meet more often.“I think it’s important the people on the ground, who are affected by this, have a seat at the table,” Sen. Ritchie said. Though none of the IJC appointees are New Yorkers, four of five American members of the commission’s International Lake Ontario-St. Lawrence River Board, which regulates the water levels, have strong ties to Lake Ontario and the St. Lawrence River.
    Thomas E. Brown is from Cape Vincent, Robert J. Campany is from Clayton, Anthony M. “Tehera’tats” David is from Akwesasne and Frank Sciremammano Jr. is from Rochester.“They can only make changes to a certain extent,” Sen. Ritchie said. “I think there should be representation on the IJC.”At Tuesday’s meeting, IJC representatives said they wanted a factual basis for reflecting on this year’s events.Bill Werick, technical director for the IJC, called for the group to collaborate with homeowners “who I know are angry right now.”“When your home is flooded, it’s hard to underestimate the impact that that has on your life. You lose all control over everything you have. So you would expect people to be very emotional about this,” Mr. Werick said. “Then there’s the hard part, because in order to make things better in the future, we actually have to figure out what could be done.”Water levels were measured at 245.78 feet on Thursday, about a foot higher than average levels recorded in October 2016
    Last edited by Opie; Yesterday at 02:51 PM.

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